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Prediction Question

Explorer

So I have this data from the previous device release (old model). Date / # subscribers

Old Model Data
Month 1: 100
Month 2: 200
Month 3: 300
Month 4: 350
Month 5: 350
Month 6: 350

I want to predict how the new model will fare based on the old model curve. (e.g. next 4 months)

New Model Data
Month 1: 50
Month 2: 150

Any suggestions appreciated.

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Re: Prediction Question

SplunkTrust
SplunkTrust

Have you looked at the predict command yet?

... | timechart count(Month) as count | predict count

http://docs.splunk.com/Documentation/Splunk/6.5.3/SearchReference/Predict

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Re: Prediction Question

Explorer

And to be clear, I have fit a model to the "old" data and attempted to apply it to the new data, but it doesn't seem to work very well. And yes, I am using the predict command.

The actual "old" data has about 18 data points. New has 3 data points.

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Re: Prediction Question

SplunkTrust
SplunkTrust

Your sample size is too small to get a semi-accurate result for the New Model Data.. Try expanding your sample size

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